Covid 19 up to date Reference articles offered

Rahmana Karuna
Posted March 22, 2020 from United States
Rock Creek emptying into the North Umpqua which comes down from Crater Lake
May all this wash over with blessings

Lovely Sisters,

I have been following this daily since the first positive CoronaVirus in Seattle, Washington Jan 20. and have watched it spread like wildfire. I am a 7 hour car drive south of Seattle. We have one positive in our county since the beginning, 37 others tested have been negative. I somewhat trust our oregon government, but of course the USA White House occupant is such a turd everything is a free for all in who can make the most dollars.

How much confidence do you have in your governing authorities?

I am offering several links to articles i think are very informative from scientists and experts in their fields.

The gist is most of us won't die or even get sick. This virus is so much worse than the flu it absolutely destroys the lungs, thus ventilators. Those who need ventilators are more than the supply of ventilators. and sick beds are overflowing to tent hospitals. And other medical issues and emergencies are sidelined or not.................

Good News First!

Researchers in New York told the BBC their early results showed carbon monoxide mainly from cars had been reduced by nearly 50% compared with last year.

Emissions of the planet-heating gas CO2 have also fallen sharply.

With global economic activity ramping down as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, it is hardly surprising that emissions of a variety of gases related to energy and transport would be reduced.

************************************************

The USA is now the fastest growing trajectory of positive cases. because we are not testing and isolating the positives and BECAUSE WE HAVE NOT PRACTICED SOCIAL DISTANCING = 6 feet apart. We have Italy, South Korea, and somewhat untruthful China before the rest of us to show data and graphs. I will share the most pertinent news and maps in my opinion. oh, where to start. 

the John's Hopkins global tracking map:

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

************************************************

Twitter has a lot of coronavirus information. try different hashtags. covid 19 and your country. or coronavirus and your country.

this is the latest here:

A German virologist who interviewed >100 #coronavirus patients says that at least 2/3 with mild #COVID19 reported experiencing loss of smell and taste lasting several days. This could be VERY helpful to identify people with otherwise no/mild symptoms and ISOLATE them.

*************************************8

This is important as it typically takes ~5 days to START showing ANY symptoms. Here’s the math: For every known case there are approximately 50 unknown cases. This is because if I become sick, I infect several people today, and they infect a few people each tomorrow (as do I), and the total count of infected people doubles every 3 days until I get so sick I get hospitalized or get tested and become a “known case”. But in the time it takes me to figure out I am sick 50 others downline from me now have the virus. So every third day the infection rate doubles until I get so sick that I realize I have the virus an am hospitalized or otherwise tested. 

The risk of infection is increasing exponentially, because the quantity of infected people, most who will not show symptoms, is doubling every three days.

Some people cannot, or will not, practice social distancing for a variety of reasons and will continue to spread the virus to many people. So everyone else must start today.

The reasons above are why I have begun to practice social distancing. It’s not easy. But you must do it. It’s not optional, because the virus is spreading exponentially. Social distancing is the only way to stop the spread of the virus.

written march 16

https://medium.com/@Jason_Scott_Warner/the-sober-math-everyone-must-understand-about-the-pandemic-2b0145881993

 

****************************************************

A close spiritual friend and physician sent this via facebook a few hours ago of the San Francisco Infectious diseases conference:

 

Forwarding takeaways from the UCSF COVID-19 town hall today - infectious diseases conference

1. If you’re exposed to COVID, you’re likely to see symptoms in about 2-9 days, with median of 5 days.

2. The common symptoms are acute respiratory distress and fever, often high, which may be intermittent but can be persistent and last over 10 days.

3. Breakdown of cases: About 80% of those who contract COVID only get mildly ill; 14% get hospital-ill, 6-8% critically ill. The mortality rate seems to be between 1-3%, but that needs to be adjusted for age. Mortality is 10-15% over 80, and drops lower for younger cohorts.

4. The bulk of those who fall ill are aged 40-55, with 50 being the median. But being young and healthy (zero medical problems) does NOT rule out serious illness or death; it may just delay the time course to developing significant respiratory illness by about a week or longer.

5. Findings confirm that COVID-19 is spread simply through breathing, even without coughing. It seems unlikely that contact with contaminated surfaces is a primary means of spread: "Don't forget about hand washing, but if you don't want to get infected, you can't be in crowds.”

6. The virus spreads by air and in droplets (sneezing and coughing), but also via fecal-oral transmission. This is where hand washing with soap is key. And try to eat only cooked foods if you didn’t prepare them yourself.

7. COVID likely originated in bats. But for those sharing rumors that COVID came from Chinese people eating them, researchers now believe it went from bats to another animal species before jumping to humans, and that fecal-oral transmission was the likely vector. WASH YOUR HANDS.

8. There are no real treatments for COVID yet. Remdesvir has shown signs of reducing mortality but it is in still in tests, is in short supply and only available under restriction. Steroids, a common treatment for respiratory illness, may make things worse.

9. The terminal phase of COVID is acute respiratory distress, treated by putting patients on a ventilator. We have 160K ventilators in the US. About 1M will need ventilators. Half will die in the first week; survivors stay on for 4 weeks. “We don’t have enough ventilators.”

10. This graphic is scary. Italy is already overwhelmed. Many countries are just days behind Italy on the case curve. The US is actually breaking the curve—because of the Trump admin’s mismanagement of the situation.

11. 40-70% of the US is likely to get the virus. Around 150 million is the UCSF estimate, with a 1% rate of mortality, which means 1.5 million Americans will likely die of this disease in the next 12-18 months.

To put this in context: In 2019, 606,880 Americans died of cancer.

12. We are “past containment” at this point, experts say. The massive errors by this administration early on make it impossible to stop the spread—we can only slow it so healthcare can catch up. And no matter what anyone says: We won’t have a vaccine for at least 12 months.

Thank you for sharing, Rodney Birney.

*************************************************************

Italy is the canary in the coal mine.  Don’t count cases (testing rate is still too low/spotty).  Count deaths per day.  It is a lagging indicator, but the most solid trend for decision making....................Was Italy Late in Social Distancing and locking things down? — We all were, but not by much.  There are stages of alert from WHO, CDC, and Italian Health Ministries.  Each is based on following data like the graph above.  By the time they were mobilized for flashing red, Bergamo was already lost................

Take home message — It is possible to snuff out this pernicious little bug, but you need to act quickly and be lucky enough not to get caught in the potential black swan event(s) of Bergamo and Lombardia.  There was a UEFA Cup soccer match between Atalanta (Bergamo’s Team) and Valencia from Spain in Bergamo in February.  It is believed that around 1/3rd of the 120,000 citizens attended the game, while many more watched with large groups in bars etc.  Atalanta won 4-1…  This is a small town and they don’t get European Championship games for their team like almost ever.  It’s almost like a bioweapon was deliberately set off in Bergamo, although this is not at all a possibility, the intensity of the disease is like a bomb went off.......................The US, France, Spain etc. situations are trending the same way as Italy, but all other countries have a head start.  Again… were we late?  Maybe a little but not by much.  However any state/city etc. that is not at NYC or LA levels of lockdown are making a huge mistake.  The slopes of the curves (deaths) for all have now been shown to be highly similar.  The only difference will be that everyone else has a head start on Italy so we need to trust the scientists and the math.  Take home message — Stay home as much as possible.  Keep distancing.  Be vigilant and ride this thing out.  Better 6 ft apart than 6 ft under 

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/03/22/1929780/-COVID19-By-the-Numb...(UPDATEDX5)

************************************

This is important as it typically takes ~5 days to START showing ANY symptoms. Here’s the math: For every known case there are approximately 50 unknown cases. This is because if I become sick, I infect several people today, and they infect a few people each tomorrow (as do I), and the total count of infected people doubles every 3 days until I get so sick I get hospitalized or get tested and become a “known case”. But in the time it takes me to figure out I am sick 50 others downline from me now have the virus. So every third day the infection rate doubles until I get so sick that I realize I have the virus an am hospitalized or otherwise tested. 

The risk of infection is increasing exponentially, because the quantity of infected people, most who will not show symptoms, is doubling every three days.

Some people cannot, or will not, practice social distancing for a variety of reasons and will continue to spread the virus to many people. So everyone else must start today.

The reasons above are why I have begun to practice social distancing. It’s not easy. But you must do it. It’s not optional, because the virus is spreading exponentially. Social distancing is the only way to stop the spread of the virus.

written march 16

https://medium.com/@Jason_Scott_Warner/the-sober-math-everyone-must-understand-about-the-pandemic-2b0145881993

**************************************************

This author has written extensively from the beginning, if you go in to read the article you can click on his name and it will take you to all his articles:

 the United States is shooting upward at a rate that is overtaking others even when they had a several thousand case head start. No one—not China, not Italy, not anyone—has racked up increases of the sort seen in the United States over the last handful of days. 

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/3/21/1929715/-U-S-rushes-past-20-000-cases-but-not-without-a-glimmer-of-hope-and-glimpse-of-the-new-normal?fbclid=IwAR1kw4fOD_BwTPTQIMes-PoiANnZ0oeV0gD_xjXT43y0kEO3oF3iVq7n8-M

*****************8*********

This is what the elected officials toss around, and our republicans are making as much money as they can off this:

So the question:  At what point does the level of economic disaster become worse or more pressing than the healthcare disaster? 

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/03/18/1928733/-A-Chilling-Question...

*************************************

How to maintain our serenity?

Join a zoom circle!!  https://www.facebook.com/groups/WPVolunteers/?ref=bookmarks

My Sufi and Dances of Universal Peace circles around the globe are meeting on ZOOM.

Many of my friends on facebook are offering livestream of whatever there specialty is: yoga, prayer, how to allay one's anxiety........................

I wish to start hosting a zoom for any here who are interested in sharing healing practices that we can do together. qi gong, yoga, breath, tai chi,

LETS DO IT!!!

virtual hugs to all

I have not hugged a friend for some weeks now. I put one hand to heart and hold out the other arm with palm out. Some are doing elbow bumps. italy on twitter is hilarious what they are doing off the decks of their apartments. 

 

 

Comments 17

Log in or register to post comments
Anita Shrestha
Mar 22
Mar 22

Thank you for sharing

Rahmana Karuna
Mar 23
Mar 23

Your Welcome Anita, the global map show 2 positive in your country, with one being recoverred. do you know how much testing is being done there?

maeann
Mar 23
Mar 23

wow, Rahmana you have a lot of thoughts :) Thank you for sharing.

Rahmana Karuna
Mar 23
Mar 23

Thank you. I had to attend to other tasks this morning. how did the zoom go?

Hello, dear Rahmana,

I love your passion, sister! Knowledge and facts on the virus are our best defense, and the opposite is also true, "stupidity can get us killed". We appreciate you for providing us this information, dear. I have also read some of the links you shared here.

Please keep safe and stay beautiful!

Rahmana Karuna
Mar 25
Mar 25

your welcome, just one more woman chirping here re the virus ;-)

Your prediction was right, dear. US now tops the number of cases. :(
Please stay safe.

otahelp
Mar 30
Mar 30

Dear Rahmana thank you for this wonderful updates and information on COVID 19. Trust your are safe as well as your loved ones

Rahmana Karuna
Apr 06
Apr 06

Thank you otahelp, yes, good here thus far. living in oregon we locked down relatively early. It is headed your way now. So important for us to maintain our love and serenity!!!

Ana Isabel Paraguay
Apr 06
Apr 06

Dear All:
Kindly note international publishers have also made open / free access to papers on COVID 19.
For instance, visit https://www.elsevier.com/connect/coronavirus-information-center?dgcid=_S...
Forward this message to whom it may concern.
Thanks in advance.

Rahmana Karuna
Apr 06
Apr 06

Thank you Ana, looks like they have greatly expanded the site. when i looked at it back in January it was all data mining information and the international research on covid sharing. How are you doing in Brazil?

Ana Isabel Paraguay
Apr 06
Apr 06

Thanks for your reply.
Hard times here, since self-isolation and quarantine are the rules for those not on essential jobs (like health care, public security, sanitation, banks, supermarkets, drugstores and alike). Even so many people still do not believe how serious the pandemic is.
Hope you and your family and friends are fine.

Rahmana Karuna
Apr 07
Apr 07

well, we were doing good. but i caught a man in my car this morning pretending to be asleep, he ran off. then i noticed a bike and trailer. and it was full of MY stuff. he had riffled thru my garage, tool room, carport, and car. and emptied my purse so he has my license and debit card-i think. i haven't completely gone thru my car. i mean darn. what a thing to wake up to. my tenants upstairs in my house, lived on the streets doing meth, clean now for over a year, and they are going to find him, whatever good that does i just want my license and debit card back. the police were called. we live in a small rural county seat town. we are all sheltering in place. more people are starting to wear masks, but most don't know how to use them . a plexiglass shield went up for the cashiers at check out in one of the grocery stores. these are very interesting times. tho i feel violated, i had a good laugh when i first discoverred the trailer full of my stuff. just totally bizarre. i am so glad i am able to laugh at life and its stupidity. and its blessings.

Rahmana Karuna
Apr 07
Apr 07

yea, officer Webb caught the guy already. she sent me a photo of him for identifying and yes it is him, and she said she sees my debit card and then said she would call me back. i told my tenants, and then wonderred if i would eventually have to be dealing with this and court. yes they said and started listing off the criminal charges he is now facing. identity theft, criminal trespass.................she is actually still on probation/drug court and has had several charges and in jail over the past few years when she was lost in meth. they are both doing so wonderful now, relatively speaking.

Ana Isabel Paraguay
Apr 07
Apr 07

Sorry to know. Glad you are recovering your belongings.
Hard times indeed.
All the best,
Ana

Ana Isabel Paraguay
Apr 07
Apr 07

LitCovid - a curated literature hub for tracking up-to-date scientific information about the 2019 novel Coronavirus

"LitCovid is a curated literature hub for tracking up-to-date scientific information about the 2019 novel Coronavirus.
It is the most comprehensive resource on the subject, providing a central access to 3063 (and growing) relevant articles in PubMed.
The articles are updated daily and are further categorized by different research topics and geographic locations for improved access.
You can read more at Chen et al. Nature (2020) and download our data in TSV or RIS format. "

Categories:
GENERAL INFO
MECHANISM
TRANSMISSION
TREATMENT
CASE REPORT
EPIDEMIC FORECASTING

Source: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/research/coronavirus/

Disclaimer:
This tool shows the results of research conducted in the Computational Biology Branch, NCBI/NLM (National Center for Biotechnology Information, U.S. National Library of Medicine)

Thelma obani 2020
Apr 13
Apr 13

Thanks.. well detailed information.. stay safe dear. ❤❤❤